Why is Trump Threatening Brazil?

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Why is Trump threatening Brazil? Donald Trump’s announcement that he intends to impose 50% tariffs on Brazil is being widely seen as a striking case of political interference in the internal affairs of another country. While tariffs have long been part of U.S. trade policy, this move appears aimed at pressuring President Lula’s government to halt the prosecution of Jair Bolsonaro and back down on proposed regulations targeting U.S. social media companies. In this sense, many analysts argue the real motive is to protect a political ally and punish a foreign government for domestic decisions, raising serious questions about sovereignty, democracy, and the future of Brazil–US relations.

More broadly, this moment reflects a violation of the principle of state sovereignty and reopens deeper tensions in Latin American geopolitics. US–Brazil ties have historically been more cooperative than Washington’s relations with other countries in the region. However, Trump’s latest actions threaten to upend decades of diplomacy. With Lula rejecting what he calls “blackmail,” and Brazil preparing retaliatory tariffs, the fallout could be significant. At stake is not only a long-standing bilateral partnership but also Brazil’s strategic alignment, potentially drawing it closer to China, Russia, and the BRICS bloc. All this underscores the growing risk that foreign policy is being driven by partisan interests, with consequences that could reshape power dynamics across the Western Hemisphere.

*VIDEO CHAPTERS*
00:00 Introduction and Titles
00:52 Sovereignty in International Relations
01:39 Location and Population of Brazil and the United States
02:14 The Emergence of Modern Brazil
03:31 US-Brazil Relations, 1822-1945
04:35 US-Brazil Relations During the Cold War and After
07:02 Donald Trump and Jair Bolsonaro
08:47 Trump Threatens Tariffs on Brazil
09:33 The Risks of Imposing Sanctions on Brazil
11:30 Will Trump Impose Tariffs?

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