Is Tigray Returning to War?

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Could Tigray be returning to conflict? And could this spark another devastating war between Ethiopia and Eritrea? Tigray, Ethiopia’s northernmost province, is once again teetering on the edge of conflict. Just two years after the Pretoria Agreement brought an end to one of the bloodiest civil wars of the 21st century, tensions are rising amid stalled implementation, ongoing humanitarian crises, and deep political rifts. While the initial peace deal disarmed the Tigray Defence Forces and re-established constitutional order, unresolved issues—like the contested status of Western Tigray and the presence of Eritrean troops—have fanned fears of renewed violence. Meanwhile, Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed faces mounting challenges not only from neighbouring Amhara and Eritrea, but also from increasingly fractured factions within Tigray itself.

This video explores how a fragile peace has turned into a precarious standoff, with significant implications for both Ethiopian stability and broader regional security. We examine the political infighting within the TPLF, the controversial dismissal of Getachew Reda, and Eritrea’s suspected backing of hard-line Tigrayan elements—all of which threaten to unravel the gains of the 2022 peace deal. With Ethiopia and Eritrea now on high alert and accusations of political suppression in Tigray intensifying, we ask: Is Ethiopia heading for another devastating war? And could it spark a wider conflict across the Horn of Africa?

*VIDEO CHAPTERS*
00:00 Introduction and Titles
01:44 The Population of Ethiopia
02:15 Ethiopia, Eritrea and Tigray
03:22 Tigray and Ethiopia-Eritrea Relations
04:59 The Tigray War, 2020-2022
07:34 Tigray After the Pretoria Peace Agreement
09:38 Growing Splits within Tigray
11:31 Is Ethiopia Facing a New War?

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#Ethiopia #Eritrea #Tigray