Applied Forecasting: Using Forecasting Techniques to Anticipate Cyber Threats

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It’s hard to balance your precious time as a defender. With a changing threat landscape, it is hard to even consider a future beyond the present. On the other hand, digital threats evolve over time. Understanding that evolution allows you to anticipate and act accordingly. Forecasting is one of the techniques teams can leverage to do exactly this. Commonly used by cyber intelligence analysts and weather specialists alike, they compare how the (threat) landscape changes over time and how it could evolve in the future. By breaking down what you “forecast” to happen, you can greatly improve risk management decision making. This talk explores how forecasting works in the private sector, focussing on how to apply forecasting techniques in your daily routine. The objective of this talk is to provide defenders the practical means to apply forecasting techniques and a narrative to educate stakeholders on how cyber threats evolve over time. Demonstrating how it can support business and senior stakeholder’s decision making.

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