Is Syria Finally Stabilizing?

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Prof James Ker-Lindsay
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Is Syria stabilizing? Six months after the dramatic fall of the Assad regime, Syria finds itself at a critical crossroads. While the collapse of the long-standing dictatorship shocked the Middle East, hopes for a swift transition to peace and stability remain uncertain. The new administration, led by Ahmed al-Sharaa and backed by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), has made tentative moves towards governance and reform—including an interim constitution and a new cabinet—but deep concerns persist. With HTS's jihadist roots, questions about future democratic development and sectarian tensions loom large, particularly after revenge attacks against minorities and fears of rising Islamist influence. Despite these risks, many Syrians and international observers cautiously await signs of lasting stability.

Internationally, the new Syrian government has made surprising diplomatic gains. Turkey has emerged as a strong ally, and even Western nations have shown a willingness to engage—highlighted by Sharaa’s meeting with US President Trump. Sanctions have been lifted, and Gulf states are offering economic aid, raising hopes for reconstruction. But serious obstacles remain: destroyed infrastructure, widespread poverty, and a fragile internal security environment. With the threat of insurgency, Israeli military action, and the risk of Syria becoming a proxy battleground, the country’s long-term future is far from secure. Can Syria finally escape its violent past and build a stable future?

*VIDEO CHAPTERS*
00:00 Introduction and Titles
00:38 Post-Civil War Stability and the Case of Syria
01:33 Syria: Location and Population
02:20 Syria’s Post-Independence Instability
03:27 Syria Under the Assad Dynasty
04:27 The Syrian Civil War
05:28 The Overthrow of the Assad Regime
06:48 Is Syria Becoming Politically Stable?
08:18 Syria’s International Relations
10:21 Syria’s Economic Challenges and Outlook
11:24 The Internal Security Situation in Syria
13:05 Is Syria Really Stabilising?

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