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The first big winter storm of the season and the year will run from the Plains to the mid-Atlantic with heavy ice and snow Saturday into Monday. Also could be a sneaky snow into parts of the Southeast that models aren't showing. After that? Maybe finally a big snowstorm for the Northeast! One model has a bias problem that could affect the forecast.

CHAOS TO CLARITY: In this video series, AccuWeather's Chief Video Meteorologist Bernie Rayno dives into the chaos of meteorology and computer model predictions for upcoming storms, sorting through the data to develop accurate forecasts.

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